"Is it time for a house short sale? Do I need to do that?" Those are the questions that we all ask ourselves. As an investor in single family homes, I have to look at all the options from a business point of view and leave out the emotional attachments. I knew that with the housing downturn, some of my homes were worth much less than I owed on the loans. So I put pen to paper and here's how I decided what to do.
1) Get a Great Realtor: I would interview a number of them, and find a good fit for your situation. Preferably, they have a degree in finance and a brokers license in real estate. Don't be afraid to ask the tough questions, because its your life, your house short sale, and your money! You don't want to find someone that will make a bad situation worse! Be careful of the referral service mills too. They always ask for money up front, and that should be a big red flag! All of the legitimate realtors I found will never ask you for a dime. They pay all costs including advertising, and the bank pays them a finders fee.
2) Find the Present Market Value: You need this to figure out just how upside down you are. Do not spend the money on an official appraisal. They cost $300-$500 and they won't be any good in a few months anyway! Your realtor will give you a good idea of the what the home is worth, and how much it can bring in as a distressed home. The more upside down you are, the better your chances of a successful house short sale. So forget about the nice drapes and all the sweat you put into your lawn. Just let the straight numbers do the talking.
3) Get Out the Calculator: Here's how I decided whether I needed a house short sale: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. (We will pretend that the market has returned to normal appreciation today.) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Finally, compare how many years it will take to break even, with the cost of keeping it each year. Can you hack it? Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
For example: You bought a luxury condo with a $9,00,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $700,000. Should you put the house on the market for a short sale?
Upside Down: $900,000 - $700,000 = $200,000 Estimated Annual Costs: Include all your yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: A health growth real estate market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
The Bottom Line: It will cost $60,000 per year in payments, for 12.5 years, just to break even with the original value. That's assuming a strong market with all 12.5 of those years of appreciation, at 8%. In that time period over $750,000 will have been spent in principle, interest, taxes, and insurance, along with other expenses with no equity gain.
You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day.
1) Get a Great Realtor: I would interview a number of them, and find a good fit for your situation. Preferably, they have a degree in finance and a brokers license in real estate. Don't be afraid to ask the tough questions, because its your life, your house short sale, and your money! You don't want to find someone that will make a bad situation worse! Be careful of the referral service mills too. They always ask for money up front, and that should be a big red flag! All of the legitimate realtors I found will never ask you for a dime. They pay all costs including advertising, and the bank pays them a finders fee.
2) Find the Present Market Value: You need this to figure out just how upside down you are. Do not spend the money on an official appraisal. They cost $300-$500 and they won't be any good in a few months anyway! Your realtor will give you a good idea of the what the home is worth, and how much it can bring in as a distressed home. The more upside down you are, the better your chances of a successful house short sale. So forget about the nice drapes and all the sweat you put into your lawn. Just let the straight numbers do the talking.
3) Get Out the Calculator: Here's how I decided whether I needed a house short sale: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. (We will pretend that the market has returned to normal appreciation today.) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Finally, compare how many years it will take to break even, with the cost of keeping it each year. Can you hack it? Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
For example: You bought a luxury condo with a $9,00,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $700,000. Should you put the house on the market for a short sale?
Upside Down: $900,000 - $700,000 = $200,000 Estimated Annual Costs: Include all your yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: A health growth real estate market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
The Bottom Line: It will cost $60,000 per year in payments, for 12.5 years, just to break even with the original value. That's assuming a strong market with all 12.5 of those years of appreciation, at 8%. In that time period over $750,000 will have been spent in principle, interest, taxes, and insurance, along with other expenses with no equity gain.
You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day.
About the Author:
If you liked this article, then please come visit my blog at HouseShortSale.org. It's free and there's no sign up, just my story about how I dealt with my house short sale!
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment